Judgment under uncertainty heuristics and biases 1982 pdf

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judgment under uncertainty heuristics and biases 1982 pdf

Kahneman, D. Reducing Noise in Decision Making. Harvard Business Review , 94 12 , A New Etiquette for Replication. Social Psychology , 45 4 , Sibony, O.
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Kahneman Et Al. - 1982 - Judgment Under Uncertainty Heuristics and Biases

The Pitt Building, Trumpington Street. Spain Dock House. Subject to statutory errception and to the provisions of relevant collective licensing agreements, no reproduction of any part may take place without the written permission of Cambridge University Press. First published Reprinted Many decisions are based on beliefs concerning the likelihood of uncertain events such as the outcome of an election, the guilt of a defendant. These beliefs are usually expressed in statements such as I think that. Occasionally, beliefs concerning uncertain events.



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  1. Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases is one of the foundational works on the flaws of human reasoning, and as such gets cited a lot on Less Wrong — but it's also rather long and esoteric, which makes it inaccessible to most Less Wrong users.

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